Atlantic Basin/2012/August/05L/Advisory 4/Forecast

TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
KIEWII-COBRASTRIKE GAAC AUSTIN TX 
0000 UTC FRI 3 AUG 2012

STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 55.6W AT 02/1800Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 20 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.

WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. 

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 55.6W AT 02/1800Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 55.6W

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  70 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

$$
FORECASTER COBRASTRIKE